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Three-Way Tie in Tangere 2025 Senate Survey; Duterte’s Arrest Boosts PDP-Laban’s Chances

The latest 2025 Pre-Election Senatorial Preferential Survey conducted by Tangere, on the eve of former President Rodrigo Duterte’s arrest, concluded with a three-way statistical tie for the top spot. Media executive Ben ‘Bitag’ Tulfo, ACT-CIS Representative Erwin Tulfo, and Senator Bong Go each garnered around 54% voter preference.

Ben ‘Bitag’ Tulfo emerged as the frontrunner with a 54.63% preference, driven by strong support from Metro Manila and the Visayas. Representative Erwin Tulfo ranked third with 53.50%, favored primarily by voters from Northern, Central, and Southern Luzon. While Ben Tulfo was more popular with younger voters aged 18-25, Erwin Tulfo had stronger backing from older respondents. Meanwhile, Senator Bong Go secured second place with 54%, showing notable growth compared to the previous month, particularly leading in Mindanao.

The arrest of former President Duterte bolstered the standing of PDP-Laban candidates, leading to significant increases in voter support: Senator Bong Go: Increased from 51.25% to 54.00% (Ranked 1-3); Senator Bato Dela Rosa: Rose from 36.54% to 37.29% (Ranked 7-13); Actor Philip Salvador: Gained support from 21.92% to 22.67% (Ranked 19-20); Representative Rodante Marcoleta: Climbed from 19.12% to 19.83% (Ranked 21-23); Atty. Jimmy Bondoc: Slight increase from 17.63% to 18.13% (Ranked 21-23); Atty. Vic Rodriguez: Marked a notable rise from 6.63% to 10.42% (Ranked 26-27). No significant changes were recorded for PDP-Laban candidates Sec. Raul Lambino, Pastor Apollo Quiboloy, and Jesus Hinlo Jr.

While most administration candidates experienced minimal shifts, a few saw increased support: Senator Ping Lacson: Increased from 33.33% to 36.29% (Ranked 7-13); Mayor Abigail Binay: Rose from 30.42% to 33.88% (Ranked 13-16); Camille Villar: Gained support from 29.38% to 32.04% (Ranked 14-16).

However, the following candidates experienced a decline:Senator Imee Marcos: Dropped from 29.04% to 27.13% (Ranked 17-18); Senator Francis Tolentino: Decreased from 28.04% to 27.04% (Ranked 17-18).

Tangere’s survey also revealed that a significant majority oppose the Marcos administration’s cooperation with Interpol in Duterte’s arrest under the ICC warrant. Over 75% of respondents in Central Luzon, Southern Luzon, Mindanao, and the Visayas opposed the decision, while opposition was particularly strong among respondents aged 36-50 in Metro Manila and Northern Luzon.

Moreover, 73% of respondents expressed concerns that the arrest could lead to a national divide. Trust in the Marcos administration diminished among two-thirds of those who had previously supported it.

Looking ahead to the 2025 Mid-Term Elections, 85% of voters indicated that Duterte’s arrest would significantly influence their decisions at the polls, reflecting its potential impact on the political landscape.

The latest non-commissioned survey by Tangere, conducted from March 11 to 14, 2025, gathered insights from 2,400 respondents using a mobile-based application. Employing a Stratified Random Sampling method (Quota Based Sampling), the survey maintains a margin of error of +/- 1.96% at a 95% confidence level. The respondents were proportionally distributed across the country, with 12% from the National Capital Region (NCR), 23% from Northern Luzon, 22% from Southern Luzon, 20% from Visayas, and 23% from Mindanao.

Tangere, a leading technology-driven market research firm, is committed to capturing the voice of Filipinos. Recognized for its innovative approach, the company is a proud member of the Marketing and Opinion Research Society of the Philippines (MORES) and the Philippine Association of National Advertisers (PANA). Tangere also holds the distinction of being one of the first companies registered with the Commission on Elections (COMELEC).#

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